The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenOctober 26, 2026

Cañellas / Martinez v Casali / Guerra

A. CañellasP. Martinez
Winner
366
C. CasaliN. Guerra
622
Court 2 Nic01:59

Pre-match odds

Cañellas / Martinez

43%

Avg Elo 1498

Casali / Guerra

57%

Avg Elo 1523

Elo gap 25

Cañellas / Martinez won as slight underdogs (43%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Cañellas / Martinez first, Casali / Guerra second.

132 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 1–0

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 36–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Casali / Guerra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.