The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenOctober 26, 2026

Lobo / Canovas v Martinez / Martinez

M. LoboN. Canovas
Winner
76
A. MartinezL. Martinez
51
Court 1 Alghanim01:36

Pre-match odds

Lobo / Canovas

63%

Avg Elo 1646

Martinez / Martinez

37%

Avg Elo 1600

Elo gap 46

Lobo / Canovas delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Lobo / Canovas first, Martinez / Martinez second.

105 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.