The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenOctober 26, 2026

Perez / Caparros v Val Lopez / Bahurel

A. PerezM. Caparros
Winner
66
I. Val LopezL. Bahurel
30
Court 3 Volvo01:02

Pre-match odds

Perez / Caparros

57%

Avg Elo 1574

Val Lopez / Bahurel

43%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 24

Perez / Caparros delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Perez / CaparrosVal Lopez / Bahurel

60%
Points won
40%
67%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
49%
75%
2nd-serve points won
40%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
62%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
70%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
30%
70%
1st-serve points won
60%
67%
2nd-serve points won
40%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
65%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
35%
60%
1st-serve points won
40%
80%
2nd-serve points won
40%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
60%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Perez / Caparros first, Val Lopez / Bahurel second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–15
    8. 30–30
    9. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 15–0
    6. 30–0
    7. 15–0
    8. 30–0
    9. 40–0
    10. 40–15
    11. 40–30
    12. 40–15
    13. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 30–30
    9. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.