The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenOctober 26, 2026

Bidahorria / Riera v Luttikhuis / Dubins

Court 2 Nic00:58

Pre-match odds

Bidahorria / Riera

82%

Avg Elo 1653

Luttikhuis / Dubins

18%

Avg Elo 1521

Elo gap 132

Bidahorria / Riera delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bidahorria / RieraLuttikhuis / Dubins

60%
Points won
40%
77%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
23%
79%
1st-serve points won
56%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
73%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
27%
79%
1st-serve points won
47%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
80%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Bidahorria / Riera first, Luttikhuis / Dubins second.

92 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–15
    9. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 0–15
    6. 15–15
    7. 0–15
    8. 15–15
    9. 0–15
    10. 15–15
    11. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–15
    6. 0–30
    7. 0–15
    8. 0–30
    9. 15–30
    10. 30–30
    11. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.