The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Ortega / Araujo v Ortiz / Ferreyra

M. OrtegaS. Araujo
Winner
66
A. OrtizM. Ferreyra
10
Center Court Bnk00:40

Pre-match odds

Ortega / Araujo

94%

Avg Elo 1834

Ortiz / Ferreyra

6%

Avg Elo 1589

Elo gap 245

Ortega / Araujo delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortega / AraujoOrtiz / Ferreyra

75%
Points won
25%
73%
Points won on serve
22%
78%
Points won on return
27%
73%
1st-serve points won
23%
71%
2nd-serve points won
0%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
83%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

78%
Points won
22%
89%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
11%
86%
1st-serve points won
36%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

72%
Points won
28%
62%
Points won on serve
8%
92%
Points won on return
38%
65%
1st-serve points won
8%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
92%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Ortega / Araujo first, Ortiz / Ferreyra second.

47 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Ortega / Araujo serving

      Hold

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.