The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Cañellas / Martinez v Orsi / Llaguno

A. CañellasP. Martinez
641
C. OrsiP. Llaguno
Winner
366
Court 3 Volvo01:53

Pre-match odds

Cañellas / Martinez

11%

Avg Elo 1523

Orsi / Llaguno

89%

Avg Elo 1701

Elo gap 178

Orsi / Llaguno delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cañellas / MartinezOrsi / Llaguno

47%
Points won
53%
56%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
44%
56%
1st-serve points won
67%
53%
2nd-serve points won
42%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
58%
Points won returning 2nd serve
47%
25%
Break points converted
36%
6
Longest run of points
11
13
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
62%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
38%
59%
1st-serve points won
55%
75%
2nd-serve points won
17%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
50%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
61%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
39%
67%
1st-serve points won
69%
43%
2nd-serve points won
60%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
11
5
Service games
5

Set 3

36%
Points won
64%
45%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
55%
44%
1st-serve points won
80%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
20%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Cañellas / Martinez first, Orsi / Llaguno second.

132 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold

Set 31–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Cañellas / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.