The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Velasco / Eugenio v Lobo / Canovas

J. VelascoR. Eugenio
Winner
577
M. LoboN. Canovas
765
Court 1 Alghanim03:01

Pre-match odds

Velasco / Eugenio

74%

Avg Elo 1755

Lobo / Canovas

26%

Avg Elo 1665

Elo gap 90

Velasco / Eugenio delivered as 74% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Velasco / EugenioLobo / Canovas

51%
Points won
49%
59%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
41%
59%
1st-serve points won
56%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
75%
Break points converted
55%
5
Longest run of points
8
18
Service games
18
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
52%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
61%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
52%
56%
2nd-serve points won
83%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
67%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Set 3

54%
Points won
46%
64%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
36%
61%
1st-serve points won
56%
80%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
67%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Velasco / Eugenio first, Lobo / Canovas second.

200 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 2–3

  1. 1–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 27–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 1–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Velasco / Eugenio take it 7–5

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 4–2
    7. 5–2
    8. 5–3
    9. 5–4
    10. 5–3
    11. 5–4
    12. 6–4
    13. 6–5
    Tiebreak

Set 37–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–0
    6. 0–15
    7. 0–30
    8. 15–30
    9. 15–40
    10. 15–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.