The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Perez / Caparros v Fassio / Virseda

A. PerezM. Caparros
13
M. FassioV. Virseda
Winner
66
Court 3 Volvo01:13

Pre-match odds

Perez / Caparros

12%

Avg Elo 1598

Fassio / Virseda

88%

Avg Elo 1770

Elo gap 173

Fassio / Virseda delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Perez / CaparrosFassio / Virseda

39%
Points won
61%
46%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
54%
49%
1st-serve points won
69%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
56%
4
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

31%
Points won
69%
41%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
59%
38%
1st-serve points won
79%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
7
3
Service games
4

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
49%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
51%
53%
1st-serve points won
61%
20%
2nd-serve points won
67%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
33%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Perez / Caparros first, Fassio / Virseda second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 0–0
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Fassio / Virseda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.