The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Martinez / Lopez v Jensen / Icardo

A. MartinezN. Lopez
13
C. JensenT. Icardo
Winner
66
Court 1 Alghanim01:12

Pre-match odds

Martinez / Lopez

2%

Avg Elo 1559

Jensen / Icardo

98%

Avg Elo 1907

Elo gap 348

Jensen / Icardo delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / LopezJensen / Icardo

38%
Points won
62%
44%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
56%
41%
1st-serve points won
69%
57%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
17%
Break points converted
62%
5
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

25%
Points won
75%
14%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
86%
17%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
83%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
75%
2
Longest run of points
8
3
Service games
4

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
56%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
44%
52%
1st-serve points won
70%
80%
2nd-serve points won
67%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Lopez first, Jensen / Icardo second.

81 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.