The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Salazar / Osoro v Bidahorria / Riera

A. SalazarA. Osoro
261
J. BidahorriaV. Riera
Winner
626
Center Court Bnk02:04

Pre-match odds

Upset
Salazar / Osoro

86%

Avg Elo 1820

Bidahorria / Riera

14%

Avg Elo 1662

Elo gap 158

Bidahorria / Riera won with a 14% chance — about 1 in 7.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Salazar / OsoroBidahorria / Riera

48%
Points won
52%
57%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
43%
59%
1st-serve points won
63%
38%
2nd-serve points won
46%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
54%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
50%
Break points converted
44%
7
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
54%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
46%
54%
1st-serve points won
82%
50%
2nd-serve points won
40%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
68%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
42%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 3

40%
Points won
60%
48%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
52%
56%
1st-serve points won
69%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Salazar / Osoro first, Bidahorria / Riera second.

129 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 30–30
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 30–15
    10. 40–A
    11. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–0
    5. 15–15
    6. 15–30
    7. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 30–40BP
    9. 40–40
    10. 30–40BP
    11. 40–40
    12. A–40
    Hold

Set 31–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.