The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 27, 2026

Montes / Barrera v Escacena / Aguilar

J. MontesM. Barrera
Winner
736
C. EscacenaN. Aguilar
663
Court 3 Volvo02:29

Pre-match odds

Montes / Barrera

55%

Avg Elo 1663

Escacena / Aguilar

45%

Avg Elo 1647

Elo gap 16

Montes / Barrera won a near coin flip (55%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montes / BarreraEscacena / Aguilar

49%
Points won
51%
56%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
44%
57%
1st-serve points won
54%
43%
2nd-serve points won
93%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
7%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
83%
Break points converted
26%
8
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
58%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
42%
59%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
29%
8
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
53%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
47%
56%
1st-serve points won
76%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
22%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Set 3

54%
Points won
46%
56%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
44%
57%
1st-serve points won
41%
50%
2nd-serve points won
83%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
75%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Montes / Barrera first, Escacena / Aguilar second.

174 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 2–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–2

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–3

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  7. 5–3

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–4

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–5

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–6

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–6

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–ABP
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  12. 7–6

    Montes / Barrera take it 7–4

    1. 1–1
    2. 2–1
    3. 3–1
    4. 4–2
    5. 5–2
    6. 5–3
    7. 5–2
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    10. 6–4
    Tiebreak

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Montes / Barrera serving

      Hold
    1. 1–1

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–40
      Hold
    2. 2–1

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 30–40BP
      3. 40–40
      4. A–40
      Hold
    3. 2–2

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      Hold
    4. 2–3

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40BP
      Break
    5. 2–4

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–0
      3. 0–15
      4. 15–15
      5. 0–15
      6. 15–15
      7. 0–15
      8. 15–15
      9. 15–30
      10. 15–15
      11. 15–30
      12. 15–40
      Hold
    6. 3–4

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 15–40BP
      4. 30–40BP
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40
      7. 40–40
      8. 40–ABP
      Hold
    7. 3–5

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      Hold
    8. 3–6

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–40BP
      4. 30–40BP
      Break

    Set 36–3

    Breaks 3–1

    1. 1–0

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 40–40
      4. A–40
      Hold
    3. 3–0

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      5. 30–40
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–A
      10. 40–40
      Break
    4. 4–0

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      Hold
    5. 4–1

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      4. 15–40
      5. 0–40
      6. 15–40
      7. 30–40
      Hold
    6. 5–1

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      9. A–40
      Hold
    7. 5–2

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 30–30
      4. 30–40
      5. 40–40
      6. 40–A
      Hold
    8. 5–3

      Montes / Barrera serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. A–40
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      Break
    9. 6–3

      Escacena / Aguilar serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30BP
      6. 30–30
      7. 40–30BP
      8. 40–40
      9. A–40BP
      Break

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.