The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 28, 2026

Brea / Triay v Talavan / Saiz

D. BreaG. Triay
Winner
66
M. TalavanS. Saiz
01
Center Court Bnk00:53

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

97%

Avg Elo 1992

Talavan / Saiz

3%

Avg Elo 1701

Elo gap 291

Brea / Triay delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriayTalavan / Saiz

66%
Points won
34%
69%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
31%
70%
1st-serve points won
39%
60%
2nd-serve points won
36%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
64%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
71%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
64%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
36%
58%
1st-serve points won
33%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

65%
Points won
35%
74%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
26%
81%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Brea / Triay first, Talavan / Saiz second.

65 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.