The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 28, 2026

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez v Alonso / Guinart

G. Dal PozzoN. Rodriguez
Winner
666
A. AlonsoM. Guinart
732
Court 3 Volvo02:51

Pre-match odds

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

52%

Avg Elo 1755

Alonso / Guinart

48%

Avg Elo 1747

Elo gap 8

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dal Pozzo / RodriguezAlonso / Guinart

56%
Points won
44%
61%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
39%
61%
1st-serve points won
45%
61%
2nd-serve points won
67%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
39%
50%
Break points converted
40%
6
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
54%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
46%
50%
1st-serve points won
50%
75%
2nd-serve points won
62%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
50%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
59%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
41%
62%
1st-serve points won
43%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
75%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 3

64%
Points won
36%
80%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
20%
88%
1st-serve points won
41%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez first, Alonso / Guinart second.

189 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 3–3

  1. 0–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Alonso / Guinart take it 11–9

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 4–6
    11. 5–6
    12. 6–6
    13. 7–6
    14. 7–7
    15. 7–8
    16. 8–8
    17. 9–8
    18. 9–9
    19. 9–10
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 36–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 6–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.