The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 28, 2026

Velasco / Eugenio v Fernandez / Calvo

J. VelascoR. Eugenio
46
C. FernandezM. Calvo
Winner
67
Court 1 Alghanim01:44

Pre-match odds

Velasco / Eugenio

4%

Avg Elo 1759

Fernandez / Calvo

96%

Avg Elo 2025

Elo gap 266

Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 96% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Velasco / Eugenio first, Fernandez / Calvo second.

114 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 26–7

Breaks 3–3

  1. 1–0

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  12. 6–6

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  13. 6–7

    Fernandez / Calvo take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–2
    3. 2–2
    4. 2–3
    5. 3–3
    6. 3–4
    7. 3–5
    8. 3–6
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.