The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 28, 2026

Bidahorria / Riera v Rufo / Iglesias

J. BidahorriaV. Riera
22
L. RufoV. Iglesias
Winner
66
Court 3 Volvo01:24

Pre-match odds

Bidahorria / Riera

42%

Avg Elo 1699

Rufo / Iglesias

58%

Avg Elo 1727

Elo gap 28

Rufo / Iglesias delivered as 58% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bidahorria / RieraRufo / Iglesias

40%
Points won
60%
50%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
50%
45%
1st-serve points won
67%
70%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
30%
0%
Break points converted
67%
2
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
50%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
50%
50%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
67%
2
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
50%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
50%
42%
1st-serve points won
68%
83%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
0%
Break points converted
67%
2
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Bidahorria / Riera first, Rufo / Iglesias second.

90 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40BP
    6. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.