The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 28, 2026

Montes / Barrera v Gonzalez / Josemaria

J. MontesM. Barrera
10
B. GonzalezP. Josemaria
Winner
66
Center Court Bnk00:48

Pre-match odds

Montes / Barrera

2%

Avg Elo 1670

Gonzalez / Josemaria

98%

Avg Elo 2007

Elo gap 338

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montes / BarreraGonzalez / Josemaria

27%
Points won
73%
33%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
67%
32%
1st-serve points won
78%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
68%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
60%
3
Longest run of points
12
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

30%
Points won
70%
36%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
64%
37%
1st-serve points won
77%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
75%
3
Longest run of points
12
4
Service games
3

Set 2

24%
Points won
76%
29%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
71%
27%
1st-serve points won
79%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
73%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
50%
2
Longest run of points
8
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Montes / Barrera first, Gonzalez / Josemaria second.

58 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 20–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 0–6

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.