The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 29, 2026

Brea / Triay v Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

D. BreaG. Triay
Winner
66
G. Dal PozzoN. Rodriguez
10
Center Court Bnk01:01

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

92%

Avg Elo 1994

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

8%

Avg Elo 1777

Elo gap 217

Brea / Triay delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriayDal Pozzo / Rodriguez

64%
Points won
36%
67%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
41%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
67%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
33%
59%
1st-serve points won
46%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
67%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
33%
71%
1st-serve points won
35%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Brea / Triay first, Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez second.

75 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.