The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 29, 2026

Rufo / Iglesias v Gonzalez / Josemaria

L. RufoV. Iglesias
24
B. GonzalezP. Josemaria
Winner
66
Court 1 Alghanim01:28

Pre-match odds

Rufo / Iglesias

5%

Avg Elo 1749

Gonzalez / Josemaria

95%

Avg Elo 2008

Elo gap 260

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rufo / IglesiasGonzalez / Josemaria

43%
Points won
57%
42%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
58%
35%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
55%
4
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

37%
Points won
63%
19%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
81%
11%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
89%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
57%
3
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
58%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
42%
52%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Rufo / Iglesias first, Gonzalez / Josemaria second.

79 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 2–4

  1. 0–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–40
    2. 0–40
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.