The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 29, 2026

Roglan / Aragon v Jordan / Lambrechts

Winner
66
Innovazione Serramenti

Pre-match odds

Roglan / Aragon

83%

Avg Elo 1533

Jordan / Lambrechts

17%

Avg Elo 1396

Elo gap 137

Roglan / Aragon delivered as 83% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.