The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Touly / Pothier v Mestach / Wyckaert

C. ToulyL. Pothier
563
A. MestachH. Wyckaert
Winner
716
Center Court01:42

Pre-match odds

Touly / Pothier

39%

Avg Elo 1459

Mestach / Wyckaert

61%

Avg Elo 1500

Elo gap 41

Mestach / Wyckaert delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Touly / PothierMestach / Wyckaert

50%
Points won
50%
60%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
40%
62%
1st-serve points won
59%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
44%
Break points converted
44%
7
Longest run of points
8
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
58%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
42%
61%
1st-serve points won
65%
0%
2nd-serve points won
83%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

69%
Points won
31%
65%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
35%
70%
1st-serve points won
23%
33%
2nd-serve points won
33%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
60%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
59%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
41%
58%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Touly / Pothier first, Mestach / Wyckaert second.

131 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 33–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–0
    5. 40–15
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.