The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Cirne / Giusti v Gibson / Norton

C. CirneJ. Giusti
Winner
66
A. GibsonT. Norton
34
Grand Stand 101:35

Pre-match odds

Cirne / Giusti

55%

Avg Elo 1421

Gibson / Norton

45%

Avg Elo 1405

Elo gap 16

Cirne / Giusti won a near coin flip (55%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cirne / GiustiGibson / Norton

54%
Points won
46%
78%
Points won on serve
100%
0%
Points won on return
22%
75%
1st-serve points won
100%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
0%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
2
Service games
1
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
78%
Points won on serve
100%
0%
Points won on return
22%
75%
1st-serve points won
100%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
0%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
2
Service games
1

Point by point

Scores read Cirne / Giusti first, Gibson / Norton second.

10 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–1

Breaks 0–0

  1. 1–0

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gibson / Norton serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–1

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.