The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Jensen / Fassio v Bentjerodt / Lobo

C. JensenM. Fassio
Winner
66
A. BentjerodtM. Lobo
20
Grand Stand 200:51

Pre-match odds

Jensen / Fassio

97%

Avg Elo 1856

Bentjerodt / Lobo

3%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 306

Jensen / Fassio delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jensen / FassioBentjerodt / Lobo

66%
Points won
34%
63%
Points won on serve
32%
68%
Points won on return
37%
63%
1st-serve points won
28%
64%
2nd-serve points won
60%
72%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
36%
60%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
60%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
40%
62%
1st-serve points won
38%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
33%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

76%
Points won
24%
68%
Points won on serve
14%
86%
Points won on return
32%
64%
1st-serve points won
8%
80%
2nd-serve points won
100%
92%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
75%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Jensen / Fassio first, Bentjerodt / Lobo second.

67 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Jensen / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 6–0

    Bentjerodt / Lobo serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.