The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Osoro / Milena v Arancibia / Ahumada

A. OsoroV. Milena
Winner
66
C. ArancibiaK. Ahumada
23
Grand Stand 201:02

Pre-match odds

Osoro / Milena

75%

Avg Elo 1588

Arancibia / Ahumada

25%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 96

Osoro / Milena delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Osoro / MilenaArancibia / Ahumada

59%
Points won
41%
71%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
57%
75%
2nd-serve points won
44%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
69%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
53%
75%
2nd-serve points won
25%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
73%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
27%
73%
1st-serve points won
60%
75%
2nd-serve points won
60%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
33%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Osoro / Milena first, Arancibia / Ahumada second.

84 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Osoro / Milena serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.