The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Gonzalez / Fernandez v Blaschke / Kurz

Pre-match odds

Gonzalez / Fernandez

99%

Avg Elo 2061

Blaschke / Kurz

1%

Avg Elo 1531

Elo gap 530

Gonzalez / Fernandez delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gonzalez / FernandezBlaschke / Kurz

76%
Points won
24%
100%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
0%
100%
1st-serve points won
43%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
0%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
2
Service games
2
Stats by set

Set 1

76%
Points won
24%
100%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
0%
100%
1st-serve points won
43%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
0%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
2
Service games
2

Point by point

Scores read Gonzalez / Fernandez first, Blaschke / Kurz second.

12 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–0

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–0

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.