The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Calvo / Josemaria v Höfer / Renic

M. CalvoP. Josemaria
Winner
66
D. HöferL. Renic
10
Court 500:34

Pre-match odds

Calvo / Josemaria

99%

Avg Elo 1973

Höfer / Renic

1%

Avg Elo 1441

Elo gap 533

Calvo / Josemaria delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Calvo / JosemariaHöfer / Renic

75%
Points won
25%
82%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
18%
82%
1st-serve points won
32%
83%
2nd-serve points won
50%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
100%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
80%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
47%
83%
2nd-serve points won
50%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

86%
Points won
14%
86%
Points won on serve
14%
86%
Points won on return
14%
86%
1st-serve points won
14%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
86%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Calvo / Josemaria first, Höfer / Renic second.

47 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Höfer / Renic serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Calvo / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.