The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Orsi / Marchetti v El Halaby / Morales

Court 600:42

Pre-match odds

Orsi / Marchetti

71%

Avg Elo 1627

El Halaby / Morales

29%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 77

Orsi / Marchetti delivered as 71% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Orsi / MarchettiEl Halaby / Morales

70%
Points won
30%
89%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
11%
88%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
2
Service games
2
Stats by set

Set 1

70%
Points won
30%
89%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
11%
88%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
2
Service games
2

Point by point

Scores read Orsi / Marchetti first, El Halaby / Morales second.

12 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–0

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Orsi / Marchetti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    El Halaby / Morales serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Orsi / Marchetti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  4. 3–0

    El Halaby / Morales serving

    1. 0–15
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.