The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Stellato / Dal Pozzo v El Nimr / Hakim

E. StellatoG. Dal Pozzo
Winner
66
L. El NimrM. Hakim
20
Court 600:37

Pre-match odds

Stellato / Dal Pozzo

90%

Avg Elo 1613

El Nimr / Hakim

10%

Avg Elo 1419

Elo gap 194

Stellato / Dal Pozzo delivered as 90% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Stellato / Dal PozzoEl Nimr / Hakim

74%
Points won
26%
90%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
10%
93%
1st-serve points won
31%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
69%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
62%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
94%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
6%
94%
1st-serve points won
47%
100%
2nd-serve points won
57%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
4

Set 2

83%
Points won
17%
86%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
14%
91%
1st-serve points won
8%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
92%
Points won returning 1st serve
9%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
75%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Stellato / Dal Pozzo first, El Nimr / Hakim second.

54 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    El Nimr / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 15–30
    7. 30–30
    8. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Stellato / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.