The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Silva / Santos v Morga / Beltramino

A. SilvaC. Santos
644
M. MorgaO. Beltramino
Winner
166
Court 701:26

Pre-match odds

Silva / Santos

32%

Avg Elo 1458

Morga / Beltramino

68%

Avg Elo 1522

Elo gap 65

Morga / Beltramino delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Silva / SantosMorga / Beltramino

52%
Points won
48%
67%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
33%
72%
1st-serve points won
59%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
50%
Break points converted
33%
14
Longest run of points
5
13
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
72%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
28%
75%
1st-serve points won
41%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
68%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
32%
74%
1st-serve points won
63%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

46%
Points won
54%
63%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
37%
67%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Silva / Santos first, Morga / Beltramino second.

110 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–40
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold

Set 34–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.