The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 2, 2026

Luttikhuis / Hemmes v Bareiro / Cepede

B. LuttikhuisJ. Hemmes
Winner
66
O. BareiroV. Cepede
30
Court 1300:56

Pre-match odds

Luttikhuis / Hemmes

37%

Avg Elo 1470

Bareiro / Cepede

63%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 48

Luttikhuis / Hemmes won as slight underdogs (37%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Luttikhuis / HemmesBareiro / Cepede

61%
Points won
39%
68%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
32%
69%
1st-serve points won
43%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
75%
Break points converted
50%
8
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
60%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
40%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

70%
Points won
30%
80%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
32%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Luttikhuis / Hemmes first, Bareiro / Cepede second.

73 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.