The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Araujo / Graca v Waly / Saadon

P. AraujoP. Graca
Winner
66
H. WalyM. Saadon
22
Center Court00:47

Pre-match odds

Araujo / Graca

86%

Avg Elo 1589

Waly / Saadon

14%

Avg Elo 1429

Elo gap 160

Araujo / Graca delivered as 86% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Araujo / GracaWaly / Saadon

64%
Points won
36%
84%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
16%
81%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
57%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
89%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
11%
87%
1st-serve points won
45%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
80%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
20%
75%
1st-serve points won
54%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Araujo / Graca first, Waly / Saadon second.

57 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.