The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Jesus / Perry v Nawaf / Nawaf

D. JesusP. Perry
Winner
66
M. NawafR. Nawaf
44
Center Court01:08

Pre-match odds

Jesus / Perry

79%

Avg Elo 1530

Nawaf / Nawaf

21%

Avg Elo 1416

Elo gap 114

Jesus / Perry delivered as 79% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jesus / PerryNawaf / Nawaf

55%
Points won
45%
70%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
30%
61%
1st-serve points won
60%
100%
2nd-serve points won
36%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
64%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
77%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
23%
71%
1st-serve points won
66%
100%
2nd-serve points won
29%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
63%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
37%
50%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Jesus / Perry first, Nawaf / Nawaf second.

79 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Jesus / Perry serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.