The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Flores / De Avila Simonato v Montoya / Rivero

J. FloresM. De Avila Simonato
Winner
66
J. MontoyaM. Rivero
41
Grand Stand 101:01

Pre-match odds

Flores / De Avila Simonato

53%

Avg Elo 1478

Montoya / Rivero

47%

Avg Elo 1466

Elo gap 12

Flores / De Avila Simonato won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Flores / De Avila SimonatoMontoya / Rivero

60%
Points won
40%
76%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
24%
73%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
17%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
87%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
13%
86%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
25%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
67%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
33%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Flores / De Avila Simonato first, Montoya / Rivero second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–15BP
    6. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Montoya / Rivero serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.