The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Correa / Bergamini v Torre / Arredondo

D. CorreaL. Bergamini
Winner
76
A. TorreD. Arredondo
63
Grand Stand 101:37

Pre-match odds

Correa / Bergamini

80%

Avg Elo 1608

Torre / Arredondo

20%

Avg Elo 1487

Elo gap 121

Correa / Bergamini delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Correa / BergaminiTorre / Arredondo

54%
Points won
46%
66%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
34%
70%
1st-serve points won
51%
38%
2nd-serve points won
64%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
36%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
67%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
33%
71%
1st-serve points won
56%
40%
2nd-serve points won
60%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
20%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
64%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
36%
68%
1st-serve points won
45%
33%
2nd-serve points won
75%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Correa / Bergamini first, Torre / Arredondo second.

112 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Correa / Bergamini take it 7–5

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    10. 6–4
    11. 6–5
    Tiebreak

Set 25–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Correa / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–3

    Torre / Arredondo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.