The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Cesar / Palma v Padilla / Amora

J. CesarS. Palma
Winner
66
J. PadillaP. Amora
13
Grand Stand 100:52

Pre-match odds

Cesar / Palma

51%

Avg Elo 1441

Padilla / Amora

49%

Avg Elo 1439

Elo gap 2

Cesar / Palma won a near coin flip (51%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cesar / PalmaPadilla / Amora

62%
Points won
38%
69%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
31%
67%
1st-serve points won
44%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
33%
12
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

69%
Points won
31%
75%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
33%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
63%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
37%
62%
1st-serve points won
53%
67%
2nd-serve points won
43%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
50%
10
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Cesar / Palma first, Padilla / Amora second.

23 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 15–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Padilla / Amora serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Padilla / Amora serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Padilla / Amora serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 5–1

    Cesar / Palma serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.