The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Coello / Navarro v Windahl / Vasquez

A. CoelloF. Navarro
Winner
66
D. WindahlS. Vasquez
32
Grand Stand 200:49

Pre-match odds

Coello / Navarro

99%

Avg Elo 1986

Windahl / Vasquez

1%

Avg Elo 1547

Elo gap 439

Coello / Navarro delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Coello / NavarroWindahl / Vasquez

59%
Points won
41%
66%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
34%
66%
1st-serve points won
50%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
17%
6
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
68%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
45%
80%
2nd-serve points won
67%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
67%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
64%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
36%
67%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Coello / Navarro first, Windahl / Vasquez second.

68 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    4. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–2

    Coello / Navarro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.