The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Goñi / Yanguas v Axelsson / Släryd

A. GoñiM. Yanguas
Winner
676
A. AxelssonW. Släryd
752
Grand Stand 202:13

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Yanguas

89%

Avg Elo 1767

Axelsson / Släryd

11%

Avg Elo 1589

Elo gap 178

Goñi / Yanguas delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / YanguasAxelsson / Släryd

56%
Points won
44%
75%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
63%
70%
2nd-serve points won
43%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
30%
62%
Break points converted
67%
8
Longest run of points
6
16
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
71%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
29%
72%
1st-serve points won
68%
60%
2nd-serve points won
57%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
100%
Break points converted
50%
8
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
86%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
14%
88%
1st-serve points won
75%
50%
2nd-serve points won
20%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

62%
Points won
38%
68%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
32%
62%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Goñi / Yanguas first, Axelsson / Släryd second.

156 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 0–0
    5. 15–15
    6. 30–15
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    6. 15–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Axelsson / Släryd take it 12–10

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 1–3
    7. 2–3
    8. 3–3
    9. 3–4
    10. 4–4
    11. 3–4
    12. 4–4
    13. 5–4
    14. 5–5
    15. 5–6
    16. 6–6
    17. 7–6
    18. 7–7
    19. 7–8
    20. 8–8
    21. 9–8
    22. 9–9
    23. 10–9
    24. 10–10
    25. 10–11
    Tiebreak

Set 27–5

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 36–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.