The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Sanz / Lebron v Olsson / Frost

J. SanzJ. Lebron
Winner
66
A. OlssonL. Frost
02
Grand Stand 200:45

Pre-match odds

Sanz / Lebron

98%

Avg Elo 1886

Olsson / Frost

2%

Avg Elo 1529

Elo gap 357

Sanz / Lebron delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Sanz / LebronOlsson / Frost

69%
Points won
31%
74%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
26%
75%
1st-serve points won
38%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
62%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

74%
Points won
26%
78%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
22%
76%
1st-serve points won
32%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

64%
Points won
36%
72%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
44%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Sanz / Lebron first, Olsson / Frost second.

63 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Olsson / Frost serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Sanz / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.