The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Augsburger / Di Nenno v Navarro / Zelba

Court 500:30

Pre-match odds

Augsburger / Di Nenno

96%

Avg Elo 1825

Navarro / Zelba

4%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 275

Augsburger / Di Nenno delivered as 96% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Augsburger / Di NennoNavarro / Zelba

73%
Points won
27%
74%
Points won on serve
28%
72%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
23%
80%
2nd-serve points won
60%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
86%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

76%
Points won
24%
74%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
26%
78%
1st-serve points won
17%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
83%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

70%
Points won
30%
75%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
25%
67%
1st-serve points won
26%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
74%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Augsburger / Di Nenno first, Navarro / Zelba second.

42 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 40–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 25–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Navarro / Zelba serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  6. 5–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.