The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Alabdulla / Al Janahi v Popovich / Rodriguez

A. AlabdullaM. Al Janahi
644
M. PopovichS. Rodriguez
Winner
466
Court 601:56

Pre-match odds

Alabdulla / Al Janahi

44%

Avg Elo 1493

Popovich / Rodriguez

56%

Avg Elo 1514

Elo gap 21

Popovich / Rodriguez delivered as 56% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alabdulla / Al JanahiPopovich / Rodriguez

47%
Points won
53%
54%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
61%
33%
2nd-serve points won
54%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
46%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
56%
Break points converted
55%
4
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
60%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
40%
60%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
55%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
45%
59%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

45%
Points won
55%
47%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
53%
45%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Alabdulla / Al Janahi first, Popovich / Rodriguez second.

140 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 34–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 1–0

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.