The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Martinez / Salinas v Reca / Wunner

C. MartinezD. Salinas
163
A. RecaM. Wunner
Winner
646
Court 701:39

Pre-match odds

Martinez / Salinas

48%

Avg Elo 1481

Reca / Wunner

52%

Avg Elo 1487

Elo gap 6

Reca / Wunner won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / SalinasReca / Wunner

44%
Points won
56%
52%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
48%
56%
1st-serve points won
64%
25%
2nd-serve points won
75%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
38%
Break points converted
75%
5
Longest run of points
11
13
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

28%
Points won
72%
20%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
80%
22%
1st-serve points won
62%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
78%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
80%
3
Longest run of points
11
4
Service games
3

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
70%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
30%
74%
1st-serve points won
67%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

45%
Points won
55%
58%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
42%
62%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
20%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Salinas first, Reca / Wunner second.

110 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 1–4

  1. 0–1

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 0–5

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 33–5

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Martinez / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 3–5

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.