The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Molina / Valdes v Fitzon / Lindmeyer

C. MolinaJ. Valdes
Winner
67
B. FitzonJ. Lindmeyer
46
Court 701:33

Pre-match odds

Molina / Valdes

53%

Avg Elo 1490

Fitzon / Lindmeyer

47%

Avg Elo 1480

Elo gap 10

Molina / Valdes won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Molina / ValdesFitzon / Lindmeyer

53%
Points won
47%
69%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
66%
75%
2nd-serve points won
44%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
6
11
Service games
11
1
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
80%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
20%
85%
1st-serve points won
63%
60%
2nd-serve points won
33%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5
1
Aces
0

Set 2

50%
Points won
50%
63%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
37%
61%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Molina / Valdes first, Fitzon / Lindmeyer second.

113 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold

Set 27–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–A
    11. 40–40
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  13. 6–6

    Game 13

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 5–1
    7. 6–1

    126 games not captured

    Tiebreak
  14. 77–62

    Fitzon / Lindmeyer serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.