The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Negrete / Muñoz v Boehnke / Merten

M. NegreteS. Muñoz
634
C. BoehnkeN. Merten
Winner
266
Court 701:32

Pre-match odds

Negrete / Muñoz

31%

Avg Elo 1487

Boehnke / Merten

69%

Avg Elo 1558

Elo gap 71

Boehnke / Merten delivered as 69% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Negrete / MuñozBoehnke / Merten

49%
Points won
51%
65%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
35%
66%
1st-serve points won
65%
57%
2nd-serve points won
67%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
18%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
7
13
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
84%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
16%
88%
1st-serve points won
52%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
29%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
55%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
45%
59%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
62%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
38%
58%
1st-serve points won
75%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Negrete / Muñoz first, Boehnke / Merten second.

118 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold

Set 34–5

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Negrete / Muñoz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–5

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.