The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Montiel / Cremona v Humphreys / Osses

A. MontielS. Cremona
Winner
67
C. HumphreysF. Osses
35
Court 801:03

Pre-match odds

Montiel / Cremona

68%

Avg Elo 1564

Humphreys / Osses

32%

Avg Elo 1497

Elo gap 67

Montiel / Cremona delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montiel / CremonaHumphreys / Osses

54%
Points won
46%
68%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
32%
70%
1st-serve points won
56%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
25%
8
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
84%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
16%
88%
1st-serve points won
56%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
61%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
39%
63%
1st-serve points won
56%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Montiel / Cremona first, Humphreys / Osses second.

91 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 27–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–15
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Montiel / Cremona serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.