The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Patiniotis / Graziotti v Segura / Di Francesco

A. PatiniotisG. Graziotti
Winner
66
M. SeguraV. Di Francesco
22
Court 800:58

Pre-match odds

Patiniotis / Graziotti

38%

Avg Elo 1480

Segura / Di Francesco

62%

Avg Elo 1523

Elo gap 43

Patiniotis / Graziotti won as slight underdogs (38%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Patiniotis / GraziottiSegura / Di Francesco

58%
Points won
42%
64%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
36%
68%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
56%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
59%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
41%
65%
1st-serve points won
43%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
60%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
68%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
32%
71%
1st-serve points won
48%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Patiniotis / Graziotti first, Segura / Di Francesco second.

74 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 5–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.