The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 2, 2026

Cassetta / Iacovino v De Armas / Ruiz

M. CassettaS. Iacovino
Winner
66
J. De ArmasR. Ruiz
13
Court 800:50

Pre-match odds

Cassetta / Iacovino

74%

Avg Elo 1538

De Armas / Ruiz

26%

Avg Elo 1448

Elo gap 90

Cassetta / Iacovino delivered as 74% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cassetta / IacovinoDe Armas / Ruiz

63%
Points won
37%
84%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
16%
91%
1st-serve points won
53%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
9%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
31%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

70%
Points won
30%
94%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
6%
93%
1st-serve points won
46%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
76%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
24%
88%
1st-serve points won
58%
25%
2nd-serve points won
33%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
29%
Break points converted
0%
3
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Cassetta / Iacovino first, De Armas / Ruiz second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Cassetta / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  10. 6–3

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.