The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Cirne / Giusti v Blaschke / Kurz

C. CirneJ. Giusti
22
M. BlaschkeV. Kurz
Winner
66
Center Court01:08

Pre-match odds

Cirne / Giusti

22%

Avg Elo 1421

Blaschke / Kurz

78%

Avg Elo 1531

Elo gap 111

Blaschke / Kurz delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cirne / GiustiBlaschke / Kurz

41%
Points won
59%
51%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
49%
56%
1st-serve points won
70%
14%
2nd-serve points won
86%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
86%
0%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
50%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
50%
56%
1st-serve points won
68%
20%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
52%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
48%
56%
1st-serve points won
71%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Cirne / Giusti first, Blaschke / Kurz second.

84 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 22–5

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 2–5

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.