The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Abarzua / Rousselet v Hering / Plümer

F. AbarzuaH. Rousselet
11
K. HeringL. Plümer
Winner
66
Center Court00:56

Pre-match odds

Abarzua / Rousselet

39%

Avg Elo 1379

Hering / Plümer

61%

Avg Elo 1419

Elo gap 41

Hering / Plümer delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Abarzua / RousseletHering / Plümer

36%
Points won
64%
42%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
58%
38%
1st-serve points won
68%
62%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
7
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

38%
Points won
62%
46%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
54%
42%
1st-serve points won
63%
60%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4

Set 2

33%
Points won
67%
38%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
62%
35%
1st-serve points won
73%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Abarzua / Rousselet first, Hering / Plümer second.

69 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Abarzua / Rousselet serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.