The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Patiniotis / Graziotti v Montoya / Padilla

A. PatiniotisG. Graziotti
Winner
66
J. MontoyaJ. Padilla
32
Center Court01:56

Pre-match odds

Patiniotis / Graziotti

63%

Avg Elo 1480

Montoya / Padilla

37%

Avg Elo 1434

Elo gap 47

Patiniotis / Graziotti delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Patiniotis / GraziottiMontoya / Padilla

59%
Points won
41%
76%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
24%
77%
1st-serve points won
60%
75%
2nd-serve points won
42%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
58%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
43%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
75%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
65%
71%
2nd-serve points won
38%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
33%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
78%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
22%
77%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Patiniotis / Graziotti first, Montoya / Padilla second.

81 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Montoya / Padilla serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–2

    Patiniotis / Graziotti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.