The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Cassetta / Iacovino v Jimenez / Barrientos

Center Court00:41

Pre-match odds

Cassetta / Iacovino

74%

Avg Elo 1538

Jimenez / Barrientos

26%

Avg Elo 1449

Elo gap 90

Cassetta / Iacovino delivered as 74% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cassetta / IacovinoJimenez / Barrientos

69%
Points won
31%
76%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
24%
78%
1st-serve points won
44%
50%
2nd-serve points won
14%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
62%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
6
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
72%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
44%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
81%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
19%
86%
1st-serve points won
44%
50%
2nd-serve points won
17%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Cassetta / Iacovino first, Jimenez / Barrientos second.

0 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.