The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Silva / Araujo v Bareiro / Cepede

A. SilvaS. Araujo
Winner
66
O. BareiroV. Cepede
03
Grand Stand 100:40

Pre-match odds

Silva / Araujo

84%

Avg Elo 1660

Bareiro / Cepede

16%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 143

Silva / Araujo delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Silva / AraujoBareiro / Cepede

66%
Points won
34%
71%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
29%
74%
1st-serve points won
42%
33%
2nd-serve points won
27%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
73%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
75%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

74%
Points won
26%
72%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
28%
75%
1st-serve points won
33%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
75%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
70%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
30%
74%
1st-serve points won
46%
0%
2nd-serve points won
43%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Silva / Araujo first, Bareiro / Cepede second.

60 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Silva / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Bareiro / Cepede serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.